Happy New Year. We sit tonight waiting for the first official tally of the 2012 Presidential election.
Watching the numbers, it looks like a Paul and Santorum one/two or vice versa is a real possibility in Iowa tomorrow night, with Mitt Romney coming in third.
Here's hoping.
If Romney comes in third, a new narrative will have to be created. The Republican party will have to sabotage Ron Paul. Santorum will implode rapidly, leaving the party with a task not unlike the last election when the failed candidate, John McCain, had to be quickly rehabilitated and minted as a standard bearer. Romney's campaign will similarly be salvaged
The difference this time is Paul, who could fragment the Republicans and likely will after the party flacks turn on him after Iowa. Ron Paul's third party run will draw from the Dem side too, but his candidacy would throw the Repugs into an instant state of existential crisis- -and Mittens ain't the kind of leader to pull the party out of its resulting doldrums.
Let me be clear, I think that Ron Paul is a miserable racist bastard, and I never would vote for him. But as Glenn Greenwald and others have pointed out, he is really good on some issues, particularly on issues where Obama has sucked. Paul could make some noise, and I saw him tonight on the tube with his smirking fuck head son, Rand--an indication, I think, that the Pauls may have a plan.
I digress. We'll see how it goes. Here's my prediction.
Paul 23%
Santorum 23%
Romney 21%
Perry 13%
Bachmann 10%
Gingrich 9%
Huntsman etc. 1%
Gingrich will drop out. Perry has money and will hang around until South Carolina. Who the hell knows what Bachmann will do.
--Loosestrife
Watching the numbers, it looks like a Paul and Santorum one/two or vice versa is a real possibility in Iowa tomorrow night, with Mitt Romney coming in third.
Here's hoping.
If Romney comes in third, a new narrative will have to be created. The Republican party will have to sabotage Ron Paul. Santorum will implode rapidly, leaving the party with a task not unlike the last election when the failed candidate, John McCain, had to be quickly rehabilitated and minted as a standard bearer. Romney's campaign will similarly be salvaged
The difference this time is Paul, who could fragment the Republicans and likely will after the party flacks turn on him after Iowa. Ron Paul's third party run will draw from the Dem side too, but his candidacy would throw the Repugs into an instant state of existential crisis- -and Mittens ain't the kind of leader to pull the party out of its resulting doldrums.
Let me be clear, I think that Ron Paul is a miserable racist bastard, and I never would vote for him. But as Glenn Greenwald and others have pointed out, he is really good on some issues, particularly on issues where Obama has sucked. Paul could make some noise, and I saw him tonight on the tube with his smirking fuck head son, Rand--an indication, I think, that the Pauls may have a plan.
I digress. We'll see how it goes. Here's my prediction.
Paul 23%
Santorum 23%
Romney 21%
Perry 13%
Bachmann 10%
Gingrich 9%
Huntsman etc. 1%
Gingrich will drop out. Perry has money and will hang around until South Carolina. Who the hell knows what Bachmann will do.
--Loosestrife
